Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.232056e-03 0.001386 0.001539 0.001704 0.001875 0.002047 0.002233
2025-11-09 9.926134e-04 0.001215 0.001443 0.001695 0.001961 0.002234 0.002534
2025-11-16 8.085475e-04 0.001081 0.001370 0.001694 0.002045 0.002409 0.002813
2025-11-23 6.584051e-04 0.000968 0.001307 0.001696 0.002123 0.002572 0.003076
2025-11-30 5.716808e-04 0.000917 0.001305 0.001758 0.002261 0.002796 0.003400
2025-12-07 4.586229e-04 0.000824 0.001248 0.001753 0.002321 0.002930 0.003623
2025-12-14 3.463968e-04 0.000720 0.001170 0.001717 0.002342 0.003018 0.003793
2025-12-21 2.853784e-04 0.000673 0.001154 0.001749 0.002436 0.003184 0.004045
2025-12-28 2.046062e-04 0.000589 0.001088 0.001718 0.002454 0.003262 0.004198
2026-01-04 1.519768e-04 0.000535 0.001055 0.001723 0.002511 0.003382 0.004395
2026-01-11 1.007482e-04 0.000474 0.001008 0.001707 0.002541 0.003470 0.004554
2026-01-18 6.144812e-05 0.000421 0.000967 0.001697 0.002577 0.003560 0.004714
2026-01-25 1.905765e-05 0.000349 0.000909 0.001680 0.002623 0.003687 0.004941
2026-02-01 2.397430e-09 0.000287 0.000859 0.001672 0.002681 0.003828 0.005187
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000234 0.000817 0.001672 0.002748 0.003979 0.005446
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000188 0.000778 0.001675 0.002816 0.004131 0.005704
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000171 0.000786 0.001737 0.002956 0.004366 0.006056
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000130 0.000745 0.001732 0.003012 0.004502 0.006294
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000086 0.000685 0.001696 0.003028 0.004589 0.006476
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000068 0.000675 0.001729 0.003127 0.004774 0.006766
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000037 0.000623 0.001697 0.003144 0.004859 0.006943
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000021 0.000597 0.001703 0.003207 0.004997 0.007179
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000006 0.000559 0.001687 0.003241 0.005100 0.007372